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A my jsme te\u010f ve spojen\u00ed s na\u0161\u00edm dal\u0161\u00edm hostem Danielem M\u00fcnichem z Akademick\u00e9ho thinktanku IDEA p\u0159i CERGE EI a \u010dlenem N\u00e1rodn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 rady vl\u00e1dy. Dobr\u00fd den.
Tak jak jste vy spokojen\u00fd? Jak hodnot\u00edte tu podobu d\u016fchodov\u00e9 reformy, kter\u00e1 pro\u0161la Poslaneckou sn\u011bmovnou?
Daniel M\u00fcnich, ekonom, CERGE-EI
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Tak kdy\u017e pominu n\u011bjak\u00e9 detaily, tak mysl\u00edm, \u017ee je dob\u0159e, \u017ee ta reforma pro\u0161la, je to d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 v\u011bc, mo\u017en\u00e1 nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed za tohoto vl\u00e1dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed, v podstat\u011b \u0159e\u0161\u00ed do budoucna dlouhodob\u011b d\u016fchody, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed do d\u016fchodu p\u016fjdou. D\u011bl\u00e1 to zp\u016fsoby parametrick\u00fdmi, ani jinak to nejde u toho pr\u016fb\u011b\u017en\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu, kdy se p\u0159i\u0161krcuje \u0161roubk\u016f asi 8\u201310 na r\u016fzn\u00fdch stran\u00e1ch, co\u017e je spr\u00e1vn\u00e9, proto\u017ee p\u0159i\u0161krtit jeden \u0161roub by bylo \u0161patn\u011b. Jsou tam samoz\u0159ejm\u011b n\u011bjak\u00e9 procesn\u00ed, bych \u0159ekl, nedostatky, chyby na kr\u00e1se, problematika je tam t\u011bch n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fdch profes\u00ed, kde to, mysl\u00edm, bylo dost ne\u0161\u0165astn\u011b provedeno v samotn\u00e9m fin\u00e1le, nedo\u0159e\u0161ilo se to, snad se to do\u0159e\u0161\u00ed do budoucna.
redaktor
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Zmi\u0148oval jste ty n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9 profese, tak bylo pr\u00e1v\u011b nutn\u00e9 zu\u017eovat ten okruh. Bylo by to jinak finan\u010dn\u011b ne\u00fanosn\u00e9.
Daniel M\u00fcnich, ekonom, CERGE-EI
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J\u00e1 si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee ne, kdyby samotn\u00fd n\u00e1vrh byl lep\u0161\u00ed, propracovan\u00fd, kdyby tam mnohem jasn\u011bji zazn\u011blo, \u017ee tedy s t\u011bmi vy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi v\u00fddaji na tu skupinu ve t\u0159et\u00ed skupin\u011b p\u016fjdou i vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjmy st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu z t\u011bch nav\u00fd\u0161en\u00fdch odvod\u016f. Jo, o tom se nemluvilo. V tom materi\u00e1lu to v\u00edcem\u00e9n\u011b nen\u00ed moc spo\u010d\u00edtan\u00e9, nejsou tam ani n\u011bjak\u00e9 typick\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edklady, nen\u00ed tam ani vid\u011bt ta trajektorie, kter\u00e1 by byla n\u00e1b\u011bhov\u00e1 a z\u0159ejm\u011b prosp\u011b\u0161n\u00e1 pro st\u00e1tn\u00ed rozpo\u010det, tak\u017ee mo\u017en\u00e1 i do\u0161lo na stran\u011b poslanc\u016f k n\u011bjak\u00e9mu milionu dom\u016f, \u017ee to bude \u010dern\u00e1 d\u00edra. Na pen\u00edze.
redaktor
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Sou\u010dasn\u00fdch penzist\u016f se d\u016fchodov\u00e1 reforma nedotkne. Ti budouc\u00ed maj\u00ed dost \u010dasu na to, p\u0159ipravit se na zm\u011bny.
Daniel M\u00fcnich, ekonom, CERGE-EI
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Tak ona se i t\u011bch sou\u010dasn\u00fdch dotkne, ale relativn\u011b stra\u0161n\u011b m\u00e1lo a ti ostatn\u00ed, to je dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 v\u011bc, ty v\u011bci skute\u010dn\u011b nelze \u0159e\u0161it na posledn\u00ed chv\u00edli. N\u011bkdy za dal\u0161\u00edch 10 let je dobr\u00e9, aby lid\u00e9 v\u011bd\u011bli, do \u010deho jdou a potom t\u011bch 10 let p\u0159ed penz\u00ed u\u017e m\u011bli klid, ale aby v\u011bd\u011bli, \u017ee u\u017e ten syst\u00e9m se pro n\u011b n\u011bjak\u00fdm z\u00e1sadn\u00edm zp\u016fsobem nezm\u011bn\u00ed.
redaktor
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Sly\u0161eli jsme p\u0159ed chv\u00edl\u00ed vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed opozi\u010dn\u00edho hnut\u00ed ANO, kter\u00e9 nepova\u017euje ty zm\u011bny, ale ani za d\u016fchodovou reformu, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e za n\u011bjak\u00e9 parametrick\u00e9 \u00fapravy. Poukazuje na to, \u017ee do syst\u00e9mu nep\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 pen\u00edze nav\u00edc, \u017ee jde sp\u00ed\u0161e o se\u0161krt\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fddaj\u016f. Tak nen\u00ed v tom nedostatek.
Daniel M\u00fcnich, ekonom, CERGE-EI
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No, ur\u010dit\u011b ne. Za prv\u00e9 jde o reformu prvn\u00edho d\u016fchodov\u00e9ho pil\u00ed\u0159e a tam nic jin\u00e9ho ne\u017e parametrick\u00e9 zm\u011bny si p\u0159edstavit nelze, tak\u017ee kritizovat, \u017ee to jsou jenom parametrick\u00e9 zm\u011bny, jin\u00fd syst\u00e9m neexistuje. Tak\u017ee to je prvn\u00ed, druh\u00e1, \u017ee vl\u00e1da nehled\u00e1 zdroje, samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, j\u00e1 bych tak\u00e9 na\u0161el spoustu v\u011bc\u00ed, kde by vl\u00e1da mohla b\u00fdt efektivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v redukci \u0161ed\u00e9 ekonomiky, zdan\u011bn\u00ed na trhu pr\u00e1ce atd. ale je pot\u0159eba z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee ty \u010d\u00e1stky, o kter\u00e9 jde, tak ty v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nikdy nevy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed boj s \u0161edou ekonomikou. To je prost\u011b odveden\u00ed pozornosti \u00fapln\u011b n\u011bkam jinam.
redaktor
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Sly\u0161eli jsme pr\u00e1v\u011b od opozice, \u017ee pokud se dostane p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok do vl\u00e1dy, tak \u0159adu t\u011bch zm\u011bn zru\u0161\u00ed. Co by to znamenalo pro d\u016fchodov\u00fd syst\u00e9m?
Daniel M\u00fcnich, ekonom, CERGE-EI
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No pozor, my nesm\u00edme uva\u017eovat pouze o d\u016fchodov\u00e9m syst\u00e9mu, proto\u017ee v\u00edme, \u017ee d\u016fchodov\u00fd syst\u00e9m je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch rozpo\u010dt\u016f a \u010d\u00edm v\u00edce n\u00e1s bude zat\u011b\u017eovat d\u016fchodov\u00fd syst\u00e9m, t\u00edm m\u00e9n\u011b prost\u0159edk\u016f bude zb\u00fdvat na dal\u0161\u00ed stra\u0161n\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 oblasti, a\u0165 je to obrana, kde nezbytn\u011b bude pot\u0159eba je\u0161t\u011b z\u0159ejm\u011b v\u00edce pen\u011bz, zdravotnictv\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se st\u00e1rnut\u00edm obyvatel prost\u011b bude vy\u017eadovat dal\u0161\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00ed pen\u00edze, a to \u0161kolstv\u00ed, v\u011bda a v\u0161echny dal\u0161\u00ed oblasti. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b na d\u016fchody m\u016f\u017eeme d\u00e1vat diametr\u00e1ln\u011b v\u00edce pen\u011bz, ta dal\u0161\u00ed 3 % HDP, jak tady zazn\u011blo, ale u\u017e dneska nem\u00e1me dostatek pen\u011bz na \u0161kolstv\u00ed, na v\u011bdu a vlastn\u011b ani na tu obranu, tak\u017ee si mus\u00edme uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee to je v podstat\u011b \u017eit\u00ed, \u017eit\u00ed na \u00fakor budouc\u00edch generac\u00ed.
redaktor
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\u010casto se zmi\u0148uje tak\u00e9 podpora porodnosti. Jako mo\u017en\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed m\u00e1 ten syst\u00e9m \u010das na to, aby \u010dekal, a\u017e vyroste nov\u00e1 generace p\u0159isp\u011bvatel\u016f.
Daniel M\u00fcnich, ekonom, CERGE-EI
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Toto ur\u010dit\u011b tahleta rada mo\u017en\u00e1 mohla tro\u0161ku b\u00fdt platn\u00e1 p\u0159ed 20, 15 lety, ale ne u\u017e dneska. Ta generace, kter\u00e1 by za\u010dala vyd\u011bl\u00e1vat a kter\u00e1 by se narodila v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch 10 letech, tak p\u0159ijde na trh, a\u017e kdov\u00edkdy. Tak\u017ee to u\u017e je pozd\u011b. To u\u017e jsme prokou\u010dovali. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je pot\u0159eba \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee v evropsk\u00e9 zemi nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 n\u011bjak\u00fdm z\u00e1sadn\u00edm zp\u016fsobem nav\u00fd\u0161it porodnost, po\u010det narozen\u00fdch d\u011bt\u00ed, n\u011bjak\u00fdm kouzlem, je mo\u017eno to n\u011bjak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem po\u0161\u0165ouchnout, ale ne n\u011bjak\u00fdm z\u00e1sadn\u00edm zp\u016fsobem, kter\u00fd by vy\u0159e\u0161il probl\u00e9m d\u016fchodov\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu.
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\u010cT24 A my jsme te\u010f ve spojen\u00ed s na\u0161\u00edm dal\u0161\u00edm hostem Danielem M\u00fcnichem z Akademick\u00e9ho thinktanku IDEA p\u0159i CERGE EI a \u010dlenem N\u00e1rodn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 rady […]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":35592,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53187","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nezarazene"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.invarena.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53187","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.invarena.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.invarena.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.invarena.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.invarena.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=53187"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.invarena.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53187\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.invarena.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/35592"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.invarena.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=53187"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.invarena.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=53187"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.invarena.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=53187"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}